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Cake day: June 17th, 2023

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  • Ukraine has both tactical and strategic plans for striking Russian oil and gas facilities. Strategically it’s important to hit these facilities as reducing output results in a long term slowdown in Russia’s ability to wage war on its neighbours. Tactically it’s a way of both boosting Ukrainian morale and also (most interestingly) forcing the US to help resupply Ukraine.

    By reducing Russian production, Ukraine is pushing up oil and gas prices which affects the World and, more importantly, the US economy. Due to the US election cycle, inflation is a hot button topic in the US ATM and the Biden administration will do just about anything it can to reduce its impact on the upcoming Presidential election.

    It’s entirely valid to conclude that the Ukrainian’s can bring pressure on the US to provide military aid by attaching Russian oil and gas assets.

    Let me be clear: I’m on the side of the Ukrainians.





  • It wasn’t really a failure of the intelligence community it was a failure of the Bush administration. Bush couldn’t believe his “friends” in Saudi Arabia would do anything to harm his administration, after all his family had had a long and profitable association with them for years.

    Plus, at the time the Bush administration was up to its neck in scandals (anyone remember the Enron Scandal?). Bush’s popularity had cratered and it was looking increasingly like he would loose the midterms and Presidential elections.